Expectations and results of Brexit

by Bollini, Colombo, D'Andrea

Expectations
  1. Control immigration
    Immigration is out of control. Being part of the EU means accepting the free movement of people without being able to limit it in any way.
    Too many people arrive from EU countries - 250 thousand in the last year - and represent an excessive burden for public services, transport and health.
    Many EU migrants either take advantage of the British public subsidy system or agree to work at low cost, pushing wages down and thus harming British workers. Furthermore, the number of immigrants will only increase.
    Other countries have gone from 8 to 28. Now on the waiting list to join the EU there are Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and especially Turkey, which has a population of 72 million people. Leaving the EU is the only possible way to limit arrivals and regain control of borders.


  2. Protect security
    The security of the country must be protected. The free movement of people means free field and easy movements for weapons, criminals and terrorists within the EU.
    The immigration emergency has demonstrated the impotence of the EU. Britain will be able to guarantee the safety of its citizens only by closing the borders and regaining the right to make checks at the entrance.


  3. Regaining national sovereignty
    National sovereignty must be regained. Half of the laws in force in Britain have been approved by EU bureaucrats that no one has elected.
    The European Court of Justice regularly imposes its judgments against the wishes of the British courts and the Government.
    Leaving the EU, Britain will be able to return to being a sovereign country, subject to laws that it has approved and master of its own destiny.


  4. Spend less
    The EU costs too much. Britain pays £350 million a week to Brussels, £20 billion a year and has no control over how it is spent.
    Leaving the EU, this money could be invested for the good of the country, to strengthen public services and in particular the national health service.


  5. Avoiding the European bureaucracy
    The EU is cumbersome and bureaucratic. In addition to being inefficient, not transparent and undemocratic, the EU has an excessive bureaucracy that imposes restrictions and rules in all areas, slowing down times, increasing costs and stifling businesses, especially small and medium-sized ones.
    Leaving it, Britain will be able to revive the economy by freeing it from the laces imposed by Brussels, and will be free to negotiate bilateral trade agreements with growing countries such as India and China.
Results
  1. Less immigrants from Europe
    In the months before the referendum, the number of UK citizens of other European countries was at historic highs.
    In the following months this has much decreased, especially regarding people from Eastern European countries.


  2. Protect security
    The IS managed to strike in big British cities, eluding controls and causing many victims. Some example can be the attack at the Ariana Grande concert, in Manchester or the one in front of the London Houses of Parliament.


  3. Regain national sovereignty
    This can not be verified yet, since the Brexit process has not ended yet and Britain has not left the European Union yet.


  4. Reduce spending
    The economic growth of the United Kingdom is expected to slow down. At the beginning it seemed that their fears were excessive, instead the slowdown was there.
    According to Eurostat data, a month after the Brexit, the United Kingdom was replaced by Germany in the first place in the G7 countries' ranking with the fastest economic growth; economic growth in the United Kingdom is similar to Italy's, which among the G7 countries is in last place.


  5. Avoiding EU bureaucracy
    With Europe, customs duties will be added to every single product and as a result trade with Europe will decrease.
    As for the other States, the European Union is currently negotiating. Among these, with years-long negotiations, standard for commercial treaties, we have Japan, India, Australia, New Zealand and large markets such as the South American one, in particular Brazil and Argentina.
    After Brexit, it is easy to imagine that these states give precedence in the negotiations to the larger market, the one that offers a wider commercial outlet and that can guarantee greater benefits deriving from its greater measure.
    So the interest in dealing with the United Kingdom would certainly not take precedence.
    Everyone has expressed their interest in doing so, but not immediately, first there is the European Union.
    Countries with which Europe has no agreements (or has them to a minimum extent) and with which it has not officially open negotiations include three giants: China, Russia and the USA. China is an ever expanding market that is tempting to all Western countries. A free trade treaty could, however, have a "boomerang" effect on the domestic industry, which could not support competition with the cheap labor of the Asian giant.
    Russia, too, could be a very valid counterpart on which to enter into major negotiations to facilitate a free trade path. However, dealing with a trade agreement of this size could undermine future good relations with the European Union, given the trade sanctions that followed the Crimean question.
    The United States, on the other hand, is the one that historically could extend its hand to the historic ally. Historical reasons, shared but above all geopolitical cultures.